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Exam Code: 630-008 Practice test 2022 by Killexams.com team
C.P.M. Module 4: Management
ISM Management information
Killexams : ISM Management information - BingNews https://killexams.com/pass4sure/exam-detail/630-008 Search results Killexams : ISM Management information - BingNews https://killexams.com/pass4sure/exam-detail/630-008 https://killexams.com/exam_list/ISM Killexams : When is the US ISM Manufacturing PMI and how could it affect EUR/USD?

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) will release its latest manufacturing business survey result, also known as the ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 GMT this Monday. The index is anticipated to have edged down to 52 in July from 53 in the previous month. The gauge will provide a fresh update on the manufacturing sector activity and the health of the economy amid growing worries about a possible recession.

According to Yohay Elam, Senior Analyst FXStreet: “The Prices Paid component in the ISM Manufacturing PMI is even more important and remains sky high. Despite dropping to 78.5 points in June, the indicator is at extremely high levels – and projected to climb back to 81.”

How could it affect EUR/USD?

Ahead of the key release, the US dollar dropped to its lowest level since July 5 amid diminishing odds for more aggressive rate hikes by the Fed. A weaker data would be enough to reinforce expectations and exert additional downward pressure on the greenback. Conversely, the reaction to better-than-expected data is more likely to be short-lived and might do little to impress the USD bulls. That said, the EUR/USD pair, so far, has been struggling to make it through the 1.0275-1.0285 supply zone, making it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before placing fresh bullish bets.

Eren Sengezer, Editor at FXStreet, outlined important technical levels to trade the major and also offered a brief technical outlook: “EUR/USD was last seen trading slightly above 1.0230, where the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the latest downtrend forms the upper limit of the two-week-old trading range. In case the pair manages to stabilize above that level, it could target 1.0300 (psychological level, Fibonacci 50% retracement, 200-period SMA on the four-hour chart) and 1.0370 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement). In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour chart holds above 50, suggesting that sellers remain on the sidelines for the time being.”

“On the downside, supports are located at 1.0200 (psychological level, 50-period SMA, 20-period SMA), 1.0150 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement, 100-period SMA) and 1.0100 (psychological level, static level),” Eren added further.

Key Notes

  •  ISM Manufacturing PMI: Dollar to dominate in duel between inflation and employment components

  •  EUR/USD Forecast: Euro needs to start using 1.0230 as support to extend rebound

  •  EUR/USD Price Analysis: Further upside needs to clear 1.0280

About the US ISM manufacturing PMI

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in the US. A result above 50 is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as negative (or bearish).

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Mon, 01 Aug 2022 00:54:00 -0500 en text/html https://www.fxstreet.com/news/when-is-the-us-ism-manufacturing-pmi-and-how-could-it-affect-eur-usd-202208011254
Killexams : Services PMI heads up in July, reports ISM By ·

Services economy activity saw growth in July, according to the most recent edition of the of the Services ISM Report on Business, which was issued today by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

The Services PMI came in at 56.5 (a studying of 50 or higher signals growth), up 1.4% compared to June, following a slight 0.6% decrease from May to June. The Services PMI showed growth, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with services sector growth now remaining intact for 148 of the last 150 months through June, said ISM.

The June Services PMI is 3.5% below the 12-month average of 60.2, with November 2021’s 68.4 and June’s 55.3 marking the high and low readings over that period, respectively. What’s more, the June studying represents the lowest one since February 2021, which came in at 55.9.

ISM reported that 13 of the services sectors it tracks saw annual gains in July, including: Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Public Administration; Management of Companies & Support Services; Construction; Educational Services; Other Services; Utilities; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Transportation & Warehousing; Wholesale Trade; and Information. The three industries with July declines were: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Retail Trade; and Finance & Insurance.

The report’s equally weighted subindexes that directly factor into the NMI were mixed in July, including:

  • Business activity/production, at 59.9, rose 3.8%, growing, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with 13 services sectors reporting growth;
  • New orders, at 59.9, rose 4.3%, growing, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with 11 services sectors reporting growth, following two months of contraction, which were preceded by 128 months of growth;
  • Employment, at 49.1, increased 1.7%, contracting, at a slower rate, for the second straight month, which was preceded by seven straight months of growth; and
  • Supplier deliveries, at 57.8 (a studying above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries), down 4.1 compared to June May and slowing, at a faster rate, for the 38th consecutive month

Comments from ISM member respondents included in the report highlighted various issues being seen in the services sector, including: slowing economic activity and inflation, among others.

A Management of Companies & Support Services respondent said she can feel the economy weakening, with clients making appropriate moves in anticipation of a recession. And a Utilities respondent observed that business is holding steady, adding that some headwinds are definitely ahead on the economic front, while supply chain issues appear to be easing, but are still not great.

Tony Nieves, Chair of the ISM’s Services Business Survey Committee, noted in the report that the slight increase in services sector growth was due to an increase in business activity and new orders.

In a previous interview, Nieves said that declines in the Services PMI, from March through June, serve as a barometer of how much pent-up demand there was from consumers, for services economy activities, out of 2021 and the first half of 2022.

“Things were continually opening up over that period,” he said. “The thing we are experiencing right now is that we are getting a little bit of a decline in consumer confidence, with inflation, issues we are having with materials shortages, some pullback in real estate and rental prices coming down a little bit. Hopefully, fuel prices will come down more, too. But because of the inflation eating into consumer spending…people are spending money on other things. It is not necessarily tangible goods like it was in the past, but more so they are dining out still and spending money on experiences. It is not all gloom and doom.”




Wed, 03 Aug 2022 06:20:00 -0500 text/html https://www.logisticsmgmt.com/article/services_pmi_heads_up_in_july_reports_ism
Killexams : Services PMI sees July gains, reports ISM By ·

Services economy activity saw growth in July, according to the most recent edition of the of the Services ISM Report on Business, which was issued today by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

The Services PMI came in at 56.5 (a studying of 50 or higher signals growth), up 1.4% compared to June, following a slight 0.6% decrease from May to June. The Services PMI showed growth, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with services sector growth now remaining intact for 148 of the last 150 months through June, said ISM.

The June Services PMI is 3.5% below the 12-month average of 60.2, with November 2021’s 68.4 and June’s 55.3 marking the high and low readings over that period, respectively. What’s more, the June studying represents the lowest one since February 2021, which came in at 55.9.

ISM reported that 13 of the services sectors it tracks saw annual gains in July, including: Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Public Administration; Management of Companies & Support Services; Construction; Educational Services; Other Services; Utilities; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Transportation & Warehousing; Wholesale Trade; and Information. The three industries with July declines were: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Retail Trade; and Finance & Insurance.

The report’s equally weighted subindexes that directly factor into the NMI were mixed in July, including:

-Business activity/production, at 59.9, rose 3.8%, growing, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with 13 services sectors reporting growth;
-New orders, at 59.9, rose 4.3%, growing, at a faster rate, for the 26th consecutive month, with 11 services sectors reporting growth, following two months of contraction, which were preceded by 128 months of growth;
-Employment, at 49.1, increased 1.7%, contracting, at a slower rate, for the second straight month, which was preceded by seven straight months of growth; and
-Supplier deliveries, at 57.8 (a studying above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries), down 4.1 compared to June May and slowing, at a faster rate, for the 38th consecutive month

Comments from ISM member respondents included in the report highlighted various issues being seen in the services sector, including: slowing economic activity and inflation, among others.

A Management of Companies & Support Services respondent said she can feel the economy weakening, with clients making appropriate moves in anticipation of a recession. And a Utilities respondent observed that business is holding steady, adding that some headwinds are definitely ahead on the economic front, while supply chain issues appear to be easing, but are still not great.

Tony Nieves, Chair of the ISM’s Services Business Survey Committee, noted in the report that the slight increase in services sector growth was due to an increase in business activity and new orders.

In a previous interview, Nieves said that declines in the Services PMI, from March through June, serve as a barometer of how much pent-up demand there was from consumers, for services economy activities, out of 2021 and the first half of 2022.

“Things were continually opening up over that period,” he said. “The thing we are experiencing right now is that we are getting a little bit of a decline in consumer confidence, with inflation, issues we are having with materials shortages, some pullback in real estate and rental prices coming down a little bit. Hopefully, fuel prices will come down more, too. But because of the inflation eating into consumer spending…people are spending money on other things. It is not necessarily tangible goods like it was in the past, but more so they are dining out still and spending money on experiences. It is not all gloom and doom.”




Wed, 03 Aug 2022 09:24:00 -0500 text/html https://www.scmr.com/article/services_pmi_sees_july_gains_reports_ism
Killexams : Services PMI® at 56.7%; July 2022 Services ISM® Report On Business®

Business Activity Index at 59.9%; New Orders Index at 59.9%; Employment Index at 49.1%; provider Deliveries Index at 57.8%

TEMPE, Ariz., Aug. 3, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Economic activity in the services sector grew in July for the 26th month in a row — with the Services PMI® registering 56.7 percent — say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: "In July, the Services PMI® registered 56.7 percent, 1.4 percentage points higher than June's studying of 55.3 percent. The Business Activity Index registered 59.9 percent, an increase of 3.8 percentage points compared to the studying of 56.1 percent in June. The New Orders Index figure of 59.9 percent is 4.3 percentage points higher than the June studying of 55.6 percent.

"The provider Deliveries Index registered 57.8 percent, 4.1 percentage points lower than the 61.9 percent reported in June. (Supplier Deliveries is the only ISM® Report On Business® index that is inversed; a studying of above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries, which is typical as the economy improves and customer demand increases.)

"The Prices Index decreased for the third consecutive month in July, down 7.8 percentage points to 72.3 percent. Services businesses continue to struggle to replenish inventories, as the Inventories Index contracted for the second consecutive month; the studying of 45 percent is down 2.5 percentage points from June's figure of 47.5 percent. The Inventory Sentiment Index (50.1 percent, up 3.9 percentage points from June's studying of 46.2 percent) moved into expansion territory in July after four consecutive months of contraction."

Nieves continues, "According to the Services PMI®, 13 industries reported growth. The composite index indicated growth for the 26th consecutive month after a two-month contraction in April and May 2020. Growth continues — at a faster rate — for the services sector, which has expanded for all but two of the last 150 months. The slight increase in services sector growth was due to an increase in business activity and new orders. The Employment Index (49.1 percent) contracted for the second consecutive month, and the Backlog of Orders Index decreased 2.2 percentage points, to 58.3 percent. Availability issues with overland trucking, a restricted labor pool, various material shortages and inflation continue to be impediments for the services sector."

INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE
The 13 services industries reporting growth in July — listed in order — are: Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Public Administration; Management of Companies & Support Services; Construction; Educational Services; Other Services; Utilities; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Transportation & Warehousing; Wholesale Trade; and Information. The three industries reporting a decrease in the month of July are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Retail Trade; and Finance & Insurance.

WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING

  • "Restaurant sales have softened the past few weeks (due to) post-holiday and seasonality factors, but we're also hearing because of consumer pressures, particularly fuel and food prices. Staffing remains a challenge in some markets. Many of our locations in (Los Angeles County) received news that there could be a return to (indoor) mask mandates." [Accommodation & Food Services]

  • "Interest rates have significantly impacted the homebuilding market. Cancellation rates have increased, as homebuyers can no longer afford the monthly payment. Traffic to our communities is down. Inflation has sidelined many would-be buyers." [Construction]

  • "Strengthening market overall and signs of improvement. Increased prices putting a strain on fixed budgets. There has been a shift from driving down costs to securing continuity of supply. Higher education is growing, with an increase in applicants." [Educational Services]

  • "Business continues to remain below pre-pandemic levels. (Patient) census and visits have increased but seem to have plateaued in the last six-month period." [Health Care & Social Assistance]

  • "Can feel the economy weakening. Clients are making appropriate moves in anticipation of a recession." [Management of Companies & Support Services]

  • "Hiring demand remains robust in most industry sectors. Tech has had a slowdown in hiring and layoffs. It's still a candidate's market, as the number of job openings across all skill levels and positions remains far greater than the number of candidates for those roles." [Professional, Scientific & Technical Services]

  • "Rising costs across the board seems to be the big focus now. Fuel and food are the most common focus but it is across the board, and there is pressure of a job market shortage for qualified workers to increase wages and other benefits." [Public Administration]

  • "(We are) in inventory reduction mode, attempting to match inventory levels to current lower sales trends." [Retail Trade]

  • "Holding steady, but some headwinds are definitely ahead on the economic front. However, supply chain issues appear to be easing, though still not great." [Utilities]

  • "Food service remains strong. Retail is softening as mass is overly concerned about inventory and consumer spending." [Wholesale Trade]

ISM® SERVICES SURVEY RESULTS AT A GLANCE

COMPARISON OF ISM® SERVICES AND ISM® MANUFACTURING SURVEYS

JULY 2022

Index

 Services PMI®

Manufacturing PMI®

Series
Index

Jul

Series
Index

Jun

Percent
Point
Change

 

 

Direction

 

Rate of
Change

 

Trend*

(Months)

Series
Index

Jul

Series
Index

Jun

Percent
Point
Change

Services PMI®

56.7

55.3

+1.4

Growing

Faster

26

52.8

53.0

-0.2

Business Activity/

Production

59.9

56.1

+3.8

Growing

Faster

26

53.5

54.9

-1.4

New Orders

59.9

55.6

+4.3

Growing

Faster

26

48.0

49.2

-1.2

Employment

49.1

47.4

+1.7

Contracting

Slower

2

49.9

47.3

+2.6

Supplier Deliveries

57.8

61.9

-4.1

Slowing

Slower

38

55.2

57.3

-2.1

Inventories

45.0

47.5

-2.5

Contracting

Faster

2

57.3

56.0

+1.3

Prices

72.3

80.1

-7.8

Increasing

Slower

62

60.0

78.5

-18.5

Backlog of Orders

58.3

60.5

-2.2

Growing

Slower

19

51.3

53.2

-1.9

New Export Orders

59.5

57.5

+2.0

Growing

Faster

6

52.6

50.7

+1.9

Imports

48.0

46.3

+1.7

Contracting

Slower

2

54.4

50.7

+3.7

Inventory Sentiment

50.1

46.2

+3.9

Too High

From

Too Low

1

N/A

N/A

N/A

Customers' Inventories

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

39.5

35.2

+4.3

OVERALL ECONOMY

Growing

Faster

26

Services Sector

Growing

Faster

26

Services ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for the Business Activity, New Orders, Employment and Prices indexes. Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for New Orders, Production, Employment and Inventories indexes.
*Number of months moving in current direction.

COMMODITIES REPORTED UP/DOWN IN PRICE, AND IN SHORT SUPPLY

Commodities Up in Price
Aluminum Products* (8); Chemicals (4); Coated Freesheet; Computer Accessories; Diesel Fuel (20); Eggs; Electrical Components (18); Fuel* (19); Freight Rates; Gasoline (20); Hotel Rates (3); Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) Equipment; Labor (20); Labor — Contingent; Medical Supplies; Steel Products (19); Transformers (2); Transportation Costs; Travel (3); and Utilities.

Commodities Down in Price
Aluminum Products*; Copper Wires; Fuel*; Lumber (2); Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Conduit; and Steel.

Commodities in Short Supply
Appliances (5); Coated Freesheet; Computer Hardware; Electrical Components (4); Food and Beverages; Labor (12); Masks; Microchips (3); Needles and Syringes (7); Paper Products (5); Resin Based Products; Transformers (3); and Vehicles.

Note: The number of consecutive months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item. *Indicates both up and down in price.

JULY 2022 SERVICES INDEX SUMMARIES

Services PMI®
In July, the Services PMI® registered 56.7 percent, a 1.4-percentage point increase compared to the June studying of 55.3 percent. The 12-month average is 60.2 percent, reflecting consistently strong growth in the services sector, which has expanded for 26 consecutive months. A studying above 50 percent indicates the services sector economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates the services sector is generally contracting.

A Services PMI® above 50.1 percent, over time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. Therefore, the July Services PMI® indicates the overall economy has followed the same path as the services sector: expansion for 26 straight months following two months of contraction and a preceding period of 122 months of growth. Nieves says, "The past relationship between the Services PMI® and the overall economy indicates that the Services PMI® for July (56.7 percent) corresponds to a 2.4-percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) on an annualized basis."

SERVICES PMI® HISTORY

Month

Services PMI®

Month

Services PMI®

Jul 2022

56.7

Jan 2022

59.9

Jun 2022

55.3

Dec 2021

62.3

May 2022

55.9

Nov 2021

68.4

Apr 2022

57.1

Oct 2021

66.7

Mar 2022

58.3

Sep 2021

62.6

Feb 2022

56.5

Aug 2021

62.2

Average for 12 months – 60.2

High – 68.4

Low – 55.3

Business Activity
ISM®'s Business Activity Index registered 59.9 percent in July, an increase of 3.8 percentage points from the studying of 56.1 percent in June, indicating growth for the 26th consecutive month. Comments from respondents include: "With a new fiscal year starting on July 1, an uptick in demand of goods and services" and "Seeing more critical material come in, which allowed us to work on more projects."

The 13 industries reporting an increase in business activity for the month of July — listed in order — are: Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Educational Services; Public Administration; Management of Companies & Support Services; Utilities; Construction; Other Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Wholesale Trade; Transportation & Warehousing; and Information. The four industries reporting a decrease in business activity for the month of July are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Accommodation & Food Services; Retail Trade; and Finance & Insurance.

Business Activity

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

32.9

55.7

11.4

59.9

Jun 2022

27.0

60.5

12.5

56.1

May 2022

27.1

59.6

13.3

54.5

Apr 2022

37.8

55.7

6.5

59.1

New Orders
ISM®'s New Orders Index registered 59.9 percent, up 4.3 percentage points from the June studying of 55.6 percent. New orders grew for the 26th consecutive month after two months of contraction and a preceding period of 128 months of expansion. Comments from respondents include: "Requests for new business" and "Moderate volume increases over the previous month."

Eleven industries reported growth of new orders in July, in the following order: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Mining; Educational Services; Public Administration; Transportation & Warehousing; Other Services; Utilities; Management of Companies & Support Services; Construction; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Health Care & Social Assistance. The five industries reporting a decrease in new orders in July are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Accommodation & Food Services; Retail Trade; Information; and Wholesale Trade.

New Orders

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

32.8

54.4

12.8

59.9

Jun 2022

28.3

57.7

14.0

55.6

May 2022

31.2

54.7

14.1

57.6

Apr 2022

32.9

55.6

11.5

54.6

Employment
Employment activity in the services sector contracted in July for the fourth time in the last six months. ISM®'s Employment Index registered 49.1 percent, up 1.7 percentage points from the June studying of 47.4 percent. Comments from respondents include: "Employee turnover, backfills taking longer to locate and onboard" and "Difficulties hiring new candidates as we lose more people who retire or leave the company for new opportunities."

The eight industries reporting an increase in employment in July — listed in order — are: Mining; Construction; Accommodation & Food Services; Other Services; Management of Companies & Support Services; Public Administration; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Wholesale Trade. The seven industries reporting a decrease in employment in July — listed in order — are: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Educational Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Utilities; and Health Care & Social Assistance.

Employment

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

24.2

51.7

24.1

49.1

Jun 2022

20.4

60.1

19.5

47.4

May 2022

26.1

51.2

22.7

50.2

Apr 2022

24.6

52.3

23.1

49.5

Supplier Deliveries
The provider Deliveries Index registered 57.8 percent, down 4.1 percentage points from the 61.9 percent registered in June. A studying above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries, while a studying below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries. Comments from respondents include: "Lack of drivers for delivery companies due to labor shortages" and "Global supply issues are causing uncertainty on when and how many products will arrive."

The 14 industries reporting slower deliveries in July — listed in order — are: Mining; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Accommodation & Food Services; Educational Services; Construction; Utilities; Health Care & Social Assistance; Management of Companies & Support Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Public Administration; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Transportation & Warehousing; and Information. No industry reported faster deliveries in July.

Supplier Deliveries

%Slower

%Same

%Faster

Index

Jul 2022

25.2

65.2

9.6

57.8

Jun 2022

28.8

66.2

5.0

61.9

May 2022

27.4

67.7

4.9

61.3

Apr 2022

34.0

62.2

3.8

65.1

Inventories
The Inventories Index contracted in July for the second consecutive month after four straight months of growth preceded by an eight-month period of contraction. The studying of 45 percent was a 2.5-percentage point decrease from the 47.5 percent reported in June. Of the total respondents in July, 41 percent indicated they do not have inventories or do not measure them. Comments from respondents include: "Long lead times have consumed safety stock" and "Inventories are still lower than desired due to supply chain issues."

The seven industries reporting an increase in inventories in July — listed in order — are: Mining; Utilities; Wholesale Trade; Educational Services; Transportation & Warehousing; Public Administration; and Professional, Scientific & Technical Services. The 10 industries reporting a decrease in inventories in July — listed in order — are: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Retail Trade; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Finance & Insurance; Health Care & Social Assistance; Construction; and Information.

Inventories

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

15.1

59.7

25.2

45.0

Jun 2022

20.2

54.7

25.1

47.5

May 2022

24.7

52.7

22.6

51.0

Apr 2022

22.4

59.7

17.9

52.3

Prices
Prices paid by services organizations for materials and services increased in July for the 62nd consecutive month, with the index registering 72.3 percent, 7.8 percentage points lower than the 80.1 percent recorded in June. This is the first Prices Index studying below 80 percent since September 2021 and its steepest month-over-month decrease since an 8.7-percentage point drop in May 2017.

Sixteen services industries reported an increase in prices paid during the month of July, in the following order: Mining; Public Administration; Information; Accommodation & Food Services; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Educational Services; Finance & Insurance; Management of Companies & Support Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Transportation & Warehousing; Construction; Health Care & Social Assistance; Other Services; Utilities; and Wholesale Trade. No industry reported a decrease in prices in July.

Prices

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

54.0

39.7

6.3

72.3

Jun 2022

66.1

32.2

1.7

80.1

May 2022

72.2

26.8

1.0

82.1

Apr 2022

75.4

24.4

0.2

84.6

NOTE: Commodities reported as up in price and down in price are listed in the commodities section of this report.

Backlog of Orders
The ISM® Services Backlog of Orders Index grew in July for the 19th consecutive month. The index registered 58.3 percent, a 2.2-percentage point decrease compared to the June studying of 60.5 percent. Of the total respondents in July, 40 percent indicated they do not measure backlog of orders. Respondent comments include: "Delays caused by long lead times for components" and "Higher backlog than previous month as suppliers try to keep up with orders and slowing deliveries."

The nine industries reporting an increase in order backlogs in July — listed in order — are: Accommodation & Food Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Other Services; Public Administration; Utilities; Educational Services; Retail Trade; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Health Care & Social Assistance. The five industries reporting a decrease in order backlogs in July are: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Construction; and Wholesale Trade.

Backlog of Orders

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

31.3

53.9

14.8

58.3

Jun 2022

32.0

57.1

10.9

60.5

May 2022

17.4

69.2

13.4

52.0

Apr 2022

26.4

66.1

7.5

59.4

New Export Orders
Orders and requests for services and other non-manufacturing activities to be provided outside of the U.S. by domestically based companies grew in July for the sixth consecutive month. The New Export Orders Index registered 59.5 percent, a 2-percentage point increase from the 57.5 percent reported in June. Of the total respondents in July, 79 percent indicated they do not perform, or do not separately measure, orders for work outside of the U.S.

The six industries reporting an increase in new export orders in July — listed in order — are: Accommodation & Food Services; Mining; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Construction; Utilities; and Educational Services. Six industries reported a decrease in new export orders in July, in the following order: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Information; Transportation & Warehousing; Wholesale Trade; and Professional, Scientific & Technical Services. Six industries indicated no change in new export orders in July.

New Export Orders

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

24.3

70.4

5.3

59.5

Jun 2022

19.9

75.3

4.8

57.5

May 2022

27.1

67.6

5.3

60.9

Apr 2022

22.4

71.4

6.2

58.1

Imports
The Imports Index contracted in July for the second consecutive month, registering 48 percent, up 1.7 percentage points from June's studying of 46.3 percent. Eighty percent of respondents reported that they do not use, or do not track the use of, imported materials.

The seven industries reporting an increase in imports for the month of July — listed in order — are: Mining; Information; Transportation & Warehousing; Educational Services; Utilities; Wholesale Trade; and Health Care & Social Assistance. The five industries that reported a decrease in imports in July are: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Other Services; and Accommodation & Food Services. Six industries reported no change in imports in July.

Imports

%Higher

%Same

%Lower

Index

Jul 2022

8.4

79.0

12.6

48.0

Jun 2022

7.0

78.6

14.4

46.3

May 2022

14.1

77.6

8.3

52.8

Apr 2022

13.6

78.6

7.8

52.9

Inventory Sentiment
The ISM® Services Inventory Sentiment Index grew in July after four previous months of contraction, registering 50.1 percent, a 3.9-percentage point increase from June's figure of 46.2 percent. This studying indicates that respondents feel their inventories are slightly high when correlated to business activity levels.

The five industries reporting sentiment that their inventories were too high in July are: Retail Trade; Health Care & Social Assistance; Information; Wholesale Trade; and Utilities. The six industries reporting a feeling that their inventories were too low in July — listed in order — are: Accommodation & Food Services; Management of Companies & Support Services; Educational Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; and Construction. Six industries reported no change in July.

Inventory Sentiment

%Too

High

%About Right

%Too

Low

Index

Jul 2022

23.4

53.5

23.1

50.1

Jun 2022

19.4

53.6

27.0

46.2

May 2022

21.7

45.6

32.7

44.5

Apr 2022

21.0

51.4

27.6

46.7

About This Report
DO NOT CONFUSE THIS NATIONAL REPORT with the various regional purchasing reports released across the country. The national report's information reflects the entire U.S., while the regional reports contain primarily regional data from their local vicinities. Also, the information in the regional reports is not used in calculating the results of the national report. The information compiled in this report is for the month of July 2022.

The data presented herein is obtained from a survey of supply executives in the services sector based on information they have collected within their respective organizations. ISM® makes no representation, other than that stated within this release, regarding the individual company data collection procedures. The data should be compared to all other economic data sources when used in decision-making.

Data and Method of Presentation
The Services ISM® Report On Business® (formerly the Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®) is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Membership of the Services Business Survey Committee (formerly Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee) is diversified by NAICS, based on each industry's contribution to gross domestic product (GDP). The Services Business Survey Committee responses are divided into the following NAICS code categories: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Mining; Utilities; Construction; Wholesale Trade; Retail Trade; Transportation & Warehousing; Information; Finance & Insurance; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Management of Companies & Support Services; Educational Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Accommodation & Food Services; Public Administration; and Other Services (services such as Equipment & Machinery Repairing; Promoting or Administering Religious Activities; Grantmaking; Advocacy; and Providing Dry-Cleaning & Laundry Services, Personal Care Services, Death Care Services, Pet Care Services, Photofinishing Services, Temporary Parking Services, and Dating Services). The data are weighted based on each industry's contribution to GDP. According to the BEA estimates for 2020 GDP (released December 22, 2021), the six largest services sectors are: Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Government; Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Information; and Finance & Insurance. Beginning in February 2020 with January 2020 data, computation of the indexes is accomplished utilizing unrounded numbers.

Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and provider Deliveries), this report shows the percentage reporting each response and the diffusion index. Responses represent raw data and are never changed. Data is seasonally adjusted for Business Activity, New Orders, Prices and Employment. All seasonal adjustment factors are subject annually to relatively minor changes when conditions warrant them. The remaining indexes have not indicated significant seasonality.

The Services PMI® is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for four of the indicators with equal weights: Business Activity (seasonally adjusted), New Orders (seasonally adjusted), Employment (seasonally adjusted) and provider Deliveries. Diffusion indexes have the properties of leading indicators and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction of change and the scope of change. An index studying above 50 percent indicates that the services economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. provider Deliveries is an exception. A provider Deliveries Index above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries and below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries.

A Services PMI® above 50.1 percent, over time, indicates that the overall economy, or gross domestic product (GDP), is generally expanding; below 50.1 percent, it is generally declining. The distance from 50 percent or 50.1 percent is indicative of the strength of the expansion or decline.

The Services ISM® Report On Business® survey is sent out to Services Business Survey Committee respondents the first part of each month. Respondents are asked to ONLY report on U.S. operations for the current month. ISM® receives survey responses throughout most of any given month, with the majority of respondents generally waiting until late in the month to submit responses to supply the most accurate picture of current business activity. ISM® then compiles the report for release on the third business day of the following month.

The industries reporting growth, as indicated in the Services ISM® Report On Business® monthly report, are listed in the order of most growth to least growth. For the industries reporting contraction or decreases, those are listed in the order of the highest level of contraction/decrease to the least level of contraction/decrease.

ISM ROB Content
The Institute for Supply Management® ("ISM") Report On Business® (Manufacturing, Services and Hospital reports) ("ISM ROB") contains information, text, files, images, video, sounds, musical works, works of authorship, applications, and any other materials or content (collectively, "Content") of ISM ("ISM ROB Content"). ISM ROB Content is protected by copyright, trademark, trade secret, and other laws, and as between you and ISM, ISM owns and retains all rights in the ISM ROB Content. ISM hereby grants you a limited, revocable, nonsublicensable license to access and display on your individual device the ISM ROB Content (excluding any software code) solely for your personal, non-commercial use. The ISM ROB Content shall also contain Content of users and other ISM licensors. Except as provided herein or as explicitly allowed in writing by ISM, you shall not copy, download, stream, capture, reproduce, duplicate, archive, upload, modify, translate, publish, broadcast, transmit, retransmit, distribute, perform, display, sell, or otherwise use any ISM ROB Content.

Except as explicitly and expressly permitted by ISM, you are strictly prohibited from creating works or materials (including, but not limited to: tables, charts, data streams, time-series variables, fonts, icons, link buttons, wallpaper, desktop themes, online postcards, montages, mashups and similar videos, greeting cards, and unlicensed merchandise) that derive from or are based on the ISM ROB Content. This prohibition applies regardless of whether the derivative works or materials are sold, bartered, or given away. You shall not either directly or through the use of any device, software, internet site, web-based service, or other means remove, alter, bypass, avoid, interfere with, or circumvent any copyright, trademark, or other proprietary notices marked on the Content or any digital rights management mechanism, device, or other content protection or access control measure associated with the Content including geo-filtering mechanisms. Without prior written authorization from ISM, you shall not build a business utilizing the Content, whether or not for profit.

You shall not create, recreate, distribute, incorporate in other work, or advertise an index of any portion of the Content unless you receive prior written authorization from ISM. Requests for permission to reproduce or distribute ISM ROB Content can be made by contacting in writing at: ISM Research, Institute for Supply Management, 309 W. Elliot Road, Suite 113, Tempe, AZ 85284-1556, or by emailing kcahill@ismworld.org; subject: Content Request.

ISM shall not have any liability, duty, or obligation for or relating to the ISM ROB Content or other information contained herein, any errors, inaccuracies, omissions or delays in providing any ISM ROB Content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. In no event shall ISM be liable for any special, incidental, or consequential damages, arising out of the use of the ISM ROB. Report On Business®, Manufacturing PMI®, Services PMI®, and Hospital PMI® are registered trademarks of Institute for Supply Management®. Institute for Supply Management® and ISM® are registered trademarks of Institute for Supply Management, Inc.

About Institute for Supply Management®
Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) serves supply management professionals in more than 90 countries. Its 50,000 members around the world manage about US$1 trillion in corporate and government supply chain procurement annually. Founded in 1915 as the first supply management institute in the world, ISM is committed to advancing the practice of supply management to drive value and competitive advantage for its members, contributing to a prosperous and sustainable world. ISM leads the profession through the ISM® Report On Business®, its highly regarded certification programs and the ISM® Advance Digital Platform. This report has been issued by the association since 1931, except for a four-year interruption during World War II.

The full text version of the Services ISM® Report On Business® is posted on ISM®'s website at www.ismrob.org on the third business day* of every month after 10:00 a.m. ET.

The next Services ISM® Report On Business® featuring August 2022 data will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday, September 6, 2022.

*Unless the New York Stock Exchange is closed.

Contact:

Kristina Cahill

Report On Business® Analyst

ISM®, ROB/Research Manager

Tempe, Arizona

+1 480.455.5910

Email: kcahill@ismworld.org

Institute for Supply Management logo. (PRNewsFoto/Institute for Supply Management)

Cision

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/services-pmi-at-56-7-july-2022-services-ism-report-on-business-301598327.html

SOURCE Institute for Supply Management

Wed, 03 Aug 2022 02:00:00 -0500 en-US text/html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/services-pmi-56-7-july-140000696.html
Killexams : Hospital PMI® at 58%; June 2022 Hospital ISM® Report On Business® Hospital PMI® at 58%; June 2022 Hospital ISM® Report On Business®

PR Newswire

TEMPE, Ariz., July 7, 2022

TEMPE, Ariz., July 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Economic activity in the hospital subsector grew in June for the 25th consecutive month, say the nation's hospital supply executives in the latest Hospital ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Nancy LeMaster, MBA, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Hospital Business Survey Committee: "The Hospital PMI® registered 58 percent in June, a 1.1- percentage point increase from the May studying of 56.9 percent, indicating a 25th consecutive month of growth. Both the business activity and new orders indexes increased in June compared to May. The Employment Index decreased slightly in June compared to May. The Case Mix Index moved into contraction territory, registering 48.5 percent, a decrease of 4.5 percentage points compared to the May figure of 53 percent. The Days Payable Outstanding Index also fell into contraction at 49.5 percent, down 5.5 percentage points from the 55 percent reported in May. The Technology Spend Index registered 53.5 percent, a 0.5-percentage point decrease from the May studying of 54 percent."

LeMaster continues, "Most Hospital Business Survey Committee respondents reported a continued decline in COVID-19 cases. The rate of backfill varied, with strong increases in elective procedures at some facilities and lower volumes at others. Supply chain disruptions continued to plague the industry, with many panelists commenting on high volumes of product substitutions and challenges getting product from secondary suppliers. Inflation fueled higher prices, and fuel surcharges increased. With COVID-19 cases leveling off, inventory levels are being reduced and periodic automatic replacement (PAR) levels reevaluated. High wage rates and supply cost increases continue to put pressure on hospital margins."

Hospital PMI® History


Month

Hospital PMI®

Month

Hospital PMI®

Jun 2022

58.0

Dec 2021

63.8

May 2022

56.9

Nov 2021

64.5

Apr 2022

56.3

Oct 2021

63.4

Mar 2022

50.4

Sep 2021

60.6

Feb 2022

56.9

Aug 2021

60.4

Jan 2022

64.1

Jul 2021

62.8

Average for 12 months – 59.8

High – 64.5

Low – 50.4

 

About This Report
The information compiled in this report is for the month of June 2022.

The Hospital PMI® was developed in collaboration with the Association for Health Care Resource & Materials Management (AHRMM), an association for the health care supply chain profession, and a professional membership group of the American Hospital Association (AHA).

The data presented herein is obtained from a survey of hospital supply executives based on information they have collected within their respective organizations. ISM® makes no representation, other than that stated within this release, regarding the individual company data collection procedures. The data should be compared to all other economic data sources when used in decision-making.

Data and Method of Presentation
The Hospital ISM® Report On Business® is based on data compiled from hospital purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Employment, provider Deliveries, Inventories, Prices, Prices: Pharmaceuticals, Prices: Supplies, Backlog of Orders, Imports, Inventory Sentiment, Case Mix, Days Payable Outstanding, Technology Spend, and Touchless Orders), this report shows the percentage reporting each response and the diffusion index. Responses represent raw data and are never changed. Beginning in January 2021, the Report On Business® staff and consultants are gathering market information to better validate the Exports Index. Exports Index data are still being collected.

The Hospital PMI® is a composite index computed from the following, equally weighted indexes: Business Activity, New Orders, Employment and provider Deliveries. Diffusion indexes have the properties of leading indicators and are convenient summary measures showing the prevailing direction of change and the scope of change. A Hospital PMI® index studying above 50 percent indicates that the hospital sub-sector is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. For the sub-indexes, except provider Deliveries, an index studying above 50 percent indicates that the sub-index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting. A provider Deliveries Index above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries and below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries.

The Hospital ISM® Report On Business® survey is sent out to the Hospital Business Survey Committee respondents the first part of each month. Respondents are asked to ONLY report on U.S. operations for the current month. ISM® receives survey responses throughout most of any given month, with the majority of respondents generally waiting until late in the month to submit responses to supply the most accurate picture of current business activity. ISM® then compiles the report for release on the fifth business day of the following month.

ISM ROB Content
The Institute for Supply Management® ("ISM") Report On Business® (Manufacturing, Services, and Hospital reports) ("ISM ROB") contains information, text, files, images, video, sounds, musical works, works of authorship, applications, and any other materials or content (collectively, "Content") of ISM ("ISM ROB Content"). ISM ROB Content is protected by copyright, trademark, trade secret, and other laws, and as between you and ISM, ISM owns and retains all rights in the ISM ROB Content. ISM hereby grants you a limited, revocable, nonsublicensable license to access and display on your individual device the ISM ROB Content (excluding any software code) solely for your personal, non-commercial use. The ISM ROB Content shall also contain Content of users and other ISM licensors. Except as provided herein or as explicitly allowed in writing by ISM, you shall not copy, download, stream, capture, reproduce, duplicate, archive, upload, modify, translate, publish, broadcast, transmit, retransmit, distribute, perform, display, sell, or otherwise use any ISM ROB Content.

Except as explicitly and expressly permitted by ISM, you are strictly prohibited from creating works or materials (including, but not limited to tables, charts, data streams, time-series variables, fonts, icons, link buttons, wallpaper, desktop themes, online postcards, montages, mashups and similar videos, greeting cards, and unlicensed merchandise) that derive from or are based on the ISM ROB Content. This prohibition applies regardless of whether the derivative works or materials are sold, bartered, or given away. You shall not either directly or through the use of any device, software, internet site, web-based service, or other means remove, alter, bypass, avoid, interfere with, or circumvent any copyright, trademark, or other proprietary notices marked on the Content or any digital rights management mechanism, device, or other content protection or access control measure associated with the Content including geo-filtering mechanisms. Without prior written authorization from ISM, you shall not build a business utilizing the Content, whether or not for profit.

You shall not create, recreate, distribute, incorporate in other work, or advertise an index of any portion of the Content unless you receive prior written authorization from ISM. Requests for permission to reproduce or distribute ISM ROB Content can be made by contacting Michelle Rusk in writing at: ISM Research, Institute for Supply Management, 309 W. Elliot Road, Suite 113, Tempe, AZ 85284-1556, or by emailing mrusk@ismworld.org; subject: Content Request.

ISM shall not have any liability, duty, or obligation for or relating to the ISM ROB Content or other information contained herein, any errors, inaccuracies, omissions or delays in providing any ISM ROB Content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. In no event shall ISM be liable for any special, incidental, or consequential damages, arising out of the use of the ISM ROB. Report On Business®, PMI®, NMI®, Manufacturing PMI®, Services PMI®, and Hospital PMI® are registered trademarks and trademarks of Institute for Supply Management®. Institute for Supply Management® and ISM® are registered trademarks of Institute for Supply Management, Inc.

About Institute for Supply Management®
Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) serves supply management professionals in more than 90 countries. Its 50,000 members around the world manage about US$1 trillion in corporate and government supply chain procurement annually. Founded in 1915 as the first supply management institute in the world, ISM is committed to advancing the practice of supply management to drive value and competitive advantage for its members, contributing to a prosperous and sustainable world. ISM® leads the profession through the ISM® Report On Business®, its highly regarded certification programs and the ISM® Advance Digital Platform. The ISM® Report On Business® has been issued by the association since 1931, except for a four-year interruption during World War II.

The text version of the public Hospital ISM® Report On Business® is posted on ISM®'s website at www.ismrob.org on the fifth business day* of every month at 10:00 a.m. ET.

The next Hospital ISM® Report On Business® featuring July 2022 data will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET on Friday, August 5, 2022.

*Unless the New York Stock Exchange is closed.

Contact:

Michelle Rusk


Report On Business® Analyst


ISM®, ROB/Research Manager


Tempe, Arizona


+1 480.455.5944


Email: mrusk@ismworld.org

 

Institute for Supply Management logo. (PRNewsFoto/Institute for Supply Management)

 

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hospital-pmi-at-58-june-2022-hospital-ism-report-on-business-301581883.html

SOURCE Institute for Supply Management

Thu, 07 Jul 2022 02:35:00 -0500 en text/html https://www.morningstar.com/news/pr-newswire/20220707la09959/hospital-pmi-at-58-june-2022-hospital-ism-report-on-business
Killexams : IIT-ISM project to inculcate scientific temperament among tribal student

The IIT -ISM has initiated  an ambitious project to inculcate scientific temperament among students of  tribal communities besides science  teachers of government schools here.

One such project  took place at the project at Adivasi School Bagdaha in Baghmara block by organizing  science exhibition, science based street play ,game-based information material and audio-visual clips by a team of the Department of Management Studies led  by Assistant Professor Rashmi Singh the project in- charge .

“Examples of Aeroplanes and Robots while explaining about technology were also given to satisfy the curiosity  of students ,” said  Singh.

The educational sector has been significantly affected due to the lockdown and an UNESCO report suggests that has  affected about 32 crores students’ now in  education in India, said Prof Singh.

"We also discussed rainwater harvesting and its significance in water conservation. The participating students showed desparate interest in the entire deliberations”, she said.

Further explaining the relevance of the project she  said  that it's an effort to educate and encourage young school students and teachers to understand the relevance of science and technology in today’s world through workshops and interactive sessions.

Associate professor Niladri Das and one research scholar are other members of the team.

Prof Niladri Das and other team  member  explained the science in day-to-day life during the workshop .

The project has been sponsored by the Department of Science and Technology (DST), National Council for Science and Technology Communication (NCSTC).

Wed, 03 Aug 2022 07:01:00 -0500 en text/html https://www.dailypioneer.com/2022/state-editions/iit-ism-project-to-inculcate-scientific-temperament-among-tribal-student.html
Killexams : ISM Services PMI At 56.7 Strong Business Activity Eases Recession Fears

(MENAFN- DailyFX) ISM SERVICES KEY POINTS:

  • July ISM services PMI rises to 56.7 from 55.3, beating expectations calling for a decline to 53.5
  • Strong business activity suggests the economy remains resilient and may be able to avoid a hard landing
  • All eyes will now turn to the July NFP report

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A measure of broad U.S. business services activity grew more than expected at the start of the third quarter, a sign that the outlook may not be deteriorating as rapidly as many Wall Street analysts had predicted, despite mounting headwinds, including sky-high inflation, falling real incomes, and tightening financial conditions.

According to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), July services PMI rose to 56.7 from 55.3 in June, a robust expansion rate that suggests the economy is not about to fall off the cliff. Analysts polled by Bloomberg News had expected the headline index to decline to 53.5. For context, any figure above 50 indicates growth, while readings below that level denote a contraction in the sector

Looking under the hood, the non-manufacturing sector was bolstered by a strong gain in new orders, which jumped to 59.9 from 55.6, signaling that demand conditions may be getting better. The employment index, for its part, remained in contraction territory, but climbed to 49.1 from 47.4, a welcome improvement that suggests that the rate of employment growth is likely to stay healthy as companies expand their operating capacity to meet demand.

DailyFX Economic Calendar

Source: DailyFX



On the inflation front, prices paid by service providers sank 7.8 points to 72.3, indicating that cost burdens are increasing at a much slower pace than in previous months. If this trend is sustained, CPI readings could begin to roll over quickly this fall, paving the way for the Fed to embrace a less hawkish policy stance before the turn of the year. This scenario could be positive for risk assets

Taken together, today's data is encouraging on all fronts. The resilience of economic activity, coupled with easing inflationary pressures, may boost optimism that the country will be able to avert a hard landing. In any case, to better gauge the strength of the economy, traders should closely follow Friday's July NFP report. In terms of expectations, U.S. employers are seen creating 250,000 jobs after adding 372,000 payrolls in June.

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---Written by Diego Colman, Market Strategist for DailyFX

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Wed, 03 Aug 2022 14:42:00 -0500 Date text/html https://menafn.com/1104641074/ISM-Services-PMI-At-567-Strong-Business-Activity-Eases-Recession-Fears
Killexams : Dollar in Soggy Start to August as U.S. ISM Data Points to Slowing Inflation

US inflation could be nearing a peak

Image © Adobe Images

A key measure of U.S. inflationary developments adds to evidence a peak in inflation is nearing, weighing on the Dollar at the start of August.

ISM prices index dropped to 60 in July from 78.5 in June, the market was looking for a more robust 74.3.

This is the index’s lowest studying since August 2020 and indicates the price pipeline is cooling.

"This is BIG news as it leads the CPI by 4 months," says Andreas Steno Larsen, Director at Heimstaden.


US ISM


"Prices expansion eased dramatically in July, but instability," says Timothy R. Fiore, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

The July Manufacturing PMI registered 52.8%, down 0.2 percentage point from the studying of 53% in June but ahead of forecasts for 52.0.

The ISM price index is a measure of the cost pressures manufacturers are facing and given these pressures are typically passed on to consumers they offer a guide to where CPI inflation is heading.

The data adds weight to arguments that U.S. inflationary pressures are close to peaking, and with it the Federal Reserve's rate hiking cycle.

While there are further Fed hikes to come, the size and total number of hikes will inevitable be revised lower on any data that suggests inflationary pressures are starting to come down.

Given the Fed's hiking cycle has underpinned the Dollar for months now, any rerating in expectations by the market could weigh on the Dollar going forward.

The ISM price data helps ensure the Dollar's soft start to August continues: the GBP to USD exchange rate is 0.80% higher at 1.2270, the EUR to USD exchange rate is two-thirds of a percent higher at 1.0267.



The Federal Reserve raised interest rates a further 75 basis points last week and said it would now become more data-dependent than it has been in the past, in what amounts to a major departure from its long-held policy of providing forward guidance on policy and rate setting.

In short data matters more than it has done in the past and the emphasis on the ISM price index is therefore consistent with the Fed's latest pivot.

However, last Friday the Bureau of Economic Analysis said its measure of inflation, the Core PCE Price Index, rose 0.6% month-on-month in June, beating the consensus analyst expectation for 0.5% and doubling May's studying of 0.3%.

The index rose 4.8% in the year to June, hotter than the 4.7% the market was looking for and the previous print of 47%.

The PCE matters greatly to Federal Reserve policy as "the inflation objective of the FOMC is set in terms of the rate of change of the price index for total personal consumption expenditures (PCE)," according to the Fed.

But the ISM manufacturing data is arguably telling us where PCE will go in coming months given consumer inflation lags factory gate inflation.

Any further evidence of slowing inflation over coming weeks will add to expectations for the Dollar's current cycle to have peaked.

Mon, 01 Aug 2022 02:00:00 -0500 en-gb text/html https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/usd/17333-dollar-in-soggy-start-to-august-as-u-s-ism-data-points-to-slowing-inflation
Killexams : ISM Middle East set to return to ‘normal’ with Dubai confectionery show

Formerly known as yummex, the event has undergone a rebranding to become an integral player in the ISM family, which also runs confectionery trade shows in Germany and Japan.

"Dubai is back in business - yummex ME 2021 and other trade fairs in Dubai were extremely successful in this year and broke visitor records despite the pandemic. The signs are also promising for ISM ME 2022, which will take place from 8 to 10 November​,” said Jan Philipp Hartmann, Director ISM ME at Koelnmesse.

This year also marks another first in Dubai where ISM Middle East will host a UK-Pavilion organised by international events specialists PS8.

Hartmann said the UK Pavilion is almost sold out and will be very prominently located right in front of one of the entrances to the halls.

Other countries with pavilions include: Brazil, Egypt, Greece, India, Jordan, Latvia, Malaysia, Morocco, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Turkey, USA/Mexico.

On the basis of the positive market forecasts and the rebranding as ISM Middle East, we anticipate a further increase in the quality and quantity of trade visitors​,” Hartmann said.

International demand

According to Statista and market research institutes including Euromonitor and Innova Market Insights, the highest growth rates of all markets worldwide are being forecast for the sweets market in the MENA region and Africa until 2026. The demand for international premium products is also registering top values in terms of both the per capita consumption and per capita turnover for sweets in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

"The event location in Dubai presented itself very strongly before, during and after the pandemic in terms of trade visitors​,” said Denis Steker, Vice President Trade Fair Management International of Koelnmesse.

Against this background, the rebranding of yummex Middle East to ISM Middle East should also be understood as a clear statement of the organisers, because the target markets in the Middle East and North Africa perfectly complement the offering of our ISM in Cologne.

“ISM in Cologne, ISM Japan in Tokyo and ISM ME in Dubai together form the world's largest network for the sweets and snacks industry​."

Sun, 24 Jul 2022 22:24:00 -0500 en-GB text/html https://www.confectionerynews.com/Article/2022/07/28/ism-middle-east-set-to-return-to-normal-with-dubai-confectionery-show
Killexams : When is the US ISM Services PMI and how could it affect EUR/USD?

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) will release the Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - also known as the ISM Services PMI – at 14:00 GMT this Wednesday. The gauge is expected to drop to 53.5 in July from 55.3 in the previous month. Given that the Fed looks more at inflation than growth, investors will keep a close eye on the Prices Paid sub-component, which is expected to rise to 81.6 from 80.1 in June.

According to Eren Sengezer, European Session Lead Analyst at FXStreet: “Markets should pay close attention to the Employment component as well. Ahead of Friday’s jobs report, a print below 50 would point to a contraction in the service sector employment and put additional weight on the USD’s shoulders.”

How Could it Affect EUR/USD?

Ahead of the key release, the risk-on impulse in the equity markets was seen undermining the safe-haven US dollar. A weaker-than-expected US macro data could exert additional downward pressure on the buck. That said, a further rise in the US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by the overnight hawkish comments by several Fed officials, should limit deeper USD losses.

Conversely, a stronger print would be enough to provide a modest lift to the greenback and prompt fresh selling around the EUR/USD pair. The immediate market reaction, however, is more likely to be short-lived as investors might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US monthly jobs report (NFP) on Friday. Nevertheless, a significant divergence from the expected studying would still influence the USD and produce some meaningful trading opportunities around the EUR/USD pair.

Eren Sengezer, meanwhile, outlined important technical levels to trade the major: “EUR/USD faces immediate resistance at 1.0200 (psychological level, 50-period SMA on the four-hour chart). As long as this level stays intact, buyers could opt to remain on the sidelines. In case the pair reclaims that level and starts using it as support, additional gains toward 1.0230 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the latest downtrend), 1.0275 (200-period SMA) and 1.0300 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) could be witnessed.”

“On the downside, 1.0150 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aligns as first support ahead of 1.0100 (psychological level, static level). A four-hour close below the latter could be seen as a significant bearish development and trigger another leg lower toward parity,” Eren added further.

Key Notes

  •  US July ISM Services PMI Preview: Inflation component holds the key

  •  EUR/USD Forecast: Euro to have a tough time regathering recovery momentum

  •  EUR/USD Price Analysis: Next on the upside comes 1.0300

About the US ISM manufacturing PMI

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in the US. A result above 50 is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as negative (or bearish).

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way certain that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not certain that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

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Wed, 03 Aug 2022 00:48:00 -0500 en text/html https://www.fxstreet.com/news/when-is-the-us-ism-services-pmi-and-how-could-it-affect-eur-usd-202208031248

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